South Africa’s 2026/27 table grape season is shaping up more positively than the previous year, with a stable crop forecast, potentially favourable international market conditions and plans to improve export logistics.

The industry is preparing for an earlier start to the export season, with the preliminary national crop estimate standing at 78.4 million cartons inspected for export. The forecast range is between 76.8 million and 79.9 million cartons, below the 81.3 million cartons achieved during the previous season.

Despite the slightly lower expected volume, exporters are optimistic that market conditions could support strong sales, particularly in Europe, South Africa’s largest table grape export destination.

Sarel Joubert, CEO of In2Fruit and an experienced table grape exporter, said unusually high temperatures in Southern Europe were accelerating the end of the European Union’s grape season. This could result in lower availability of locally produced grapes in November and December, creating opportunities for Southern Hemisphere suppliers.

Peru, another important supplier, is also experiencing an early season. However, its early crop is currently estimated to be approximately 25% lower than initially expected, potentially reducing the volume available for export markets.

The earlier conclusion of California’s grape season has also encouraged Peru to direct more shipments towards the United States, which could further limit supplies destined for Europe during the November and December period.

Brazil presents another potential factor influencing the European market. The country continues to benefit from strong domestic demand, while improved trade access under the EU-Mercosur agreement could make Brazilian grapes more competitive in Europe.

However, South Africa’s ability to capitalise on these market opportunities will depend heavily on the efficiency of its export logistics. Reliable shipping schedules and improved port performance will be essential to maintaining supply and meeting demand across the European Union, the United Kingdom and other international markets.

The industry is planning to move larger volumes through Namibia’s Port of Walvis Bay, alongside increased shipments directly from packhouses through ports on South Africa’s east coast. These measures are intended to ease pressure on the Port of Cape Town, where infrastructure upgrades are expected to support improved productivity.

Exporters may also use conventional vessels during the peak shipping period to supplement container services and provide additional capacity.

Joubert said the combination of potentially favourable market conditions and improved logistics could support a more stable season, particularly from December through mid-January. However, the outlook will depend on whether South Africa can implement its logistics plans effectively and deliver fruit to key markets on schedule.

With a sufficient crop forecast and the possibility of reduced competing supplies in Europe, South African table grape exporters have reason to approach the new season with cautious optimism.